Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 18, 2024	2.5	2.5	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2024	2.9	2.8	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	April 2024	-1.9	-2.0	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	1.8	-3.1	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	0.2	-0.6	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2023	7,410	7,370	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2023	325	332	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	2.3	0.8	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	0.8	-0.5	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	2.0	2.0	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2024	2.8	2.9	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2024	2.7	3.0	percent
Employed Persons	February 2024	4,911	4,900	persons
Unemployed Persons	February 2024	138	150	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2024	1.4	2.0	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2024	-0.8	1.3	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2024	7.2	-3.7	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2024	3.8	-4.7	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-7,074	-12,180	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	February 2024	0.7	-0.6	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	February 2024	1.9	-2.8	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2024	82.8	83.4

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Construction Output, Year-over-Year	February 2024	10.6	-7.5	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	April 19, 2024	5.750	5.750	percent
Broad Money	January 2024	6,767	6,698	billion
Narrow Money	January 2024	5,054	5,026	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2024	99.9	94.0	points
Business Confidence	March 2024	93.0	89.9	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2024	46.2	44.3

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	April 18, 2024	4.32	4.51	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	April 19, 2024	5.75	5.75	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	April 2024	10.9	10.7
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	April 18, 2024	40.5	40.6
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	April 18, 2024	9.4	17.9	basis points