Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 15, 2024	-0.0	-0.1	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2024	1.8	1.8	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	April 2024	-0.3	-0.2	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	-0.0	-1.6	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	-0.5	-0.9	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2023	408	411	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2023	246	248	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	1.9	-3.5	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	-0.2	-0.5	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	4.7	5.6	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	4.4	5.8	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	Q4 2023	4.0	3.9	percent
Employed Persons	December 2023	2,727	2,712	persons
Unemployed Persons	December 2023	118	116	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	-4.0	-3.1	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	Q4 2023	-1.9	-0.8	percent
Electronic Card Transactions, Year-over-Year	March 2024	-2.8	-1.2	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2024	16.2	-9.3	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2024	3.3	-20.2	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q4 2022	-21,067	-20,631	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	-3.5	-6.8	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	Q4 2023	-0.6	-3.2	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2024	90.2	91.4

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Building Permits	February 2024	2,919	2,541	units

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	April 16, 2024	5.500	5.500	percent
Broad Money	January 2024	410	409	billion
Narrow Money	January 2024	118	118	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	March 2024	11,616	9,663	units

Tourism

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Tourist Arrivals	February 2024	266,360	264,090	persons

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2024	86.4	94.5	points
Business Confidence	March 2024	22.9	34.7	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2024	47.1	49.1
Services PMI	March 2024	47.5	52.6

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	April 15, 2024	4.85	4.87	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	April 15, 2024	5.65	5.64	percent
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	April 15, 2024	16.6	17.0
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	April 15, 2024	-10.2	-7.2	basis points