Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	5.5	5.6	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	5.5	5.5	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	-10.2	-10.1	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	-0.3	-0.3	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	6.6	5.3	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	5.4	4.6	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	144,558	133,049	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	20,071	18,559	billion (USD)
Economic Growth Target	2025	5.0	5.0	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	-0.7	0.5	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	-0.1	0.6	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	5.2	5.2	percent
Unemployed Persons	June 2023	4	4	persons
Unemployment Rate (As Reported)	February 2025	5.4	5.2	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.7	3.0	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.6	0.2	percent
Retail Sales, Year-over-Year (As Reported)	December 2024	3.7	3.0	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	5.4	1.7	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	-4.3	-5.1	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	388,866	327,136	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	February 2025	5.9	5.9	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.5	0.2	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2024	74.9	74.8
Electricity Production, Year-over-Year	February 2025	5.1	0.2	percent

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Floor Space Started	February 2025	51,648,708	54,501,118	square meters

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	3.100	3.100	percent
Broad Money	February 2025	319,405	317,295	billion
Narrow Money	February 2025	109,773	109,783	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	February 2025	2,844,197	2,740,475	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	January 2025	87.5	86.4	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	50.8	50.1
Services PMI	February 2025	51.4	51.0
NBS Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	50.5	50.2
NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	50.8	50.4

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	1.81	1.80	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	1.52	1.54	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	13.5	13.0
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 28, 2025	11.0	11.0
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	27.4	25.5	basis points