Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	December 8, 2023	5.0	5.0	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	December 2023	5.5	5.5	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	December 2023	-13.7	-13.6	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	5.3	2.0	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	4.9	6.3	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q3 2023	127,004	125,796	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q3 2023	17,510	17,907	billion (USD)
Economic Growth Target	2023	5.0	5.5	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-0.2	0.2	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	0.6	0.8	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	October 2023	5.2	5.2	percent
Unemployed Persons	June 2023	4	4	persons
Unemployment Rate (As Reported)	October 2023	5.0	5.0	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	October 2023	8.2	7.1	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	October 2023	0.4	-0.1	percent
Retail Sales, Year-over-Year (As Reported)	October 2023	7.6	5.5	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	November 2023	-2.0	-8.4	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	November 2023	-1.0	-1.3	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	388,866	327,136	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	October 2023	4.6	4.5	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	October 2023	0.4	0.4	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q3 2023	75.5	74.6
Electricity Production, Year-over-Year	October 2023	7.0	8.9	percent

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Floor Space Started	October 2023	76,298,459	81,097,794	square meters

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	December 8, 2023	3.450	3.450	percent
Broad Money	October 2023	291,815	289,621	billion
Narrow Money	October 2023	67,736	67,820	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	October 2023	2,610,952	2,655,960	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	August 2023	86.5	86.4	points
Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	50.7	49.5
Services PMI	November 2023	51.5	50.4
NBS Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	49.4	49.5
NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	50.2	50.6

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	December 7, 2023	2.67	2.68	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	December 7, 2023	2.44	2.48	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	December 2023	9.2	9.6
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	December 7, 2023	15.0	15.1
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	December 7, 2023	23.9	21.7	basis points