Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 16, 2024	6.7	6.7	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2024	5.5	5.5	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	April 2024	-8.8	-8.8	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	4.1	6.1	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	5.2	4.9	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2023	126,476	126,544	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2023	17,486	17,446	billion (USD)
Economic Growth Target	2023	5.0	5.5	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	0.1	0.7	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	0.6	1.2	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2024	5.0	5.1	percent
Unemployed Persons	June 2023	4	4	persons
Unemployment Rate (As Reported)	February 2024	5.3	5.2	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	March 2024	3.6	5.0	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	March 2024	0.0	-0.2	percent
Retail Sales, Year-over-Year (As Reported)	December 2023	7.4	10.1	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	March 2024	-8.8	-1.8	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	March 2024	2.6	1.2	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	388,866	327,136	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	February 2024	-12.7	26.3	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	February 2024	0.6	1.2	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2023	75.1	75.5
Electricity Production, Year-over-Year	February 2024	5.4	9.7	percent

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Floor Space Started	February 2024	74,757,512	71,395,802	square meters

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	April 16, 2024	3.450	3.450	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	March 2024	2,578,994	2,436,650	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	January 2024	88.9	87.6	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2024	51.1	50.9
Services PMI	March 2024	52.7	52.5
NBS Manufacturing PMI	March 2024	50.8	49.1
NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI	March 2024	53.0	51.4

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	April 15, 2024	2.29	2.30	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	April 15, 2024	1.54	1.55	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	April 2024	9.3	9.3
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	April 15, 2024	14.7	14.5
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	April 15, 2024	41.7	44.3	basis points