Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 1, 2025	2.6	2.5	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2025	3.8	3.7	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	4.1	4.2	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 2025	2.1	2.1	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	15.3	17.3	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	9.2	3.0	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	559	539	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	597	592	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	6.5	-0.7	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	2.0	2.0	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.8	1.9	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.2	2.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	3.9	4.0	percent
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	112	116	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.6	-0.4	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2025	1.2	-0.2	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	27.1	15.6	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	9.6	-3.4	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	42,257	84,044	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	11.6	7.5	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-3.9	8.1	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2025	74.6	78.6

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2025	67.5	74.8	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	17.1	14.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	51.6	51.9
Services PMI	February 2025	53.2	53.4

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	April 1, 2025	3.01	3.04	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	April 1, 2025	2.40	2.37	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	April 2025	22.8	22.8
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	April 1, 2025	92.4	94.8	basis points