Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	-2.8	-2.8	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	2.3	2.3	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.2	1.4	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	10.3	10.1	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	2.7	2.1	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	3.3	3.9	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q3 2024	194,914	192,367	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q3 2024	2,183	2,120	billion (USD)

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	10.1	9.9	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	9.6	9.3	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	January 2025	2.3	2.3	percent
Employed Persons	January 2025	74	75	persons
Unemployed Persons	January 2025	2	2	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	5.4	5.7	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	0.8	0.1	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	2.4	1.7	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	3.2	5.4	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	37,231	168,589	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.1	2.8	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.4	-3.3	percent
Capacity Utilization	January 2025	60.0	60.0

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	21.000	21.000	percent
Broad Money	December 2024	127,740	127,849	billion
Narrow Money	December 2024	17,011	16,878	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	Q1 2025	-11.0	-9.0	points
Business Confidence	February 2025	3.0	3.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	50.2	53.1
Services PMI	February 2025	50.5	54.6

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	15.20	15.10	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	21.47	21.25	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	February 2023	0.0	0.0
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 28, 2025	22.8	23.4
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	-138.4	-131.9	basis points