Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	November 20, 2024	7.2	7.2	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	November 2024	2.4	2.4	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	November 2024	2.2	1.9	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	November 2024	8.3	8.5	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	2.7	2.1	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	3.1	3.8	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q2 2024	192,680	188,134	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q2 2024	2,124	2,067	billion (USD)

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2024	8.5	8.6	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2024	8.2	8.3	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	September 2024	2.4	2.4	percent
Employed Persons	September 2024	74	74	persons
Unemployed Persons	September 2024	2	2	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	September 2024	3.2	-6.8	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	September 2024	10.6	0.6	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	September 2024	-2.9	-5.9	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	September 2024	6.7	-0.5	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	37,231	168,589	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	September 2024	2.8	3.0	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	September 2024	0.0	0.7	percent
Capacity Utilization	September 2024	60.0	60.0

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	November 21, 2024	21.000	21.000	percent
Broad Money	July 2024	119,545	118,219	billion
Narrow Money	July 2024	16,704	16,734	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	Q3 2024	-7.0	-6.0	points
Business Confidence	October 2024	3.0	3.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	October 2024	50.6	49.5
Services PMI	October 2024	51.6	50.5

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	November 20, 2024	16.18	16.29	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	November 20, 2024	21.51	21.67	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	February 2023	0.0	0.0
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	November 20, 2024	2.4	2.3
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	November 20, 2024	-362.8	-362.9	basis points