Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	December 8, 2023	1.6	1.6	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	December 2023	1.5	1.6	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	December 2023	-6.4	-6.4	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	-1.0	1.8	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	-0.5	1.5	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q2 2023	6,945	6,835	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q2 2023	372	385	billion (USD)

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	5.9	5.4	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	4.4	4.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	Q3 2023	32.6	32.7	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	September 2023	0.8	0.2	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	September 2023	0.1	0.3	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	6.8	-8.8	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	11.0	-6.0	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-7,241	-6,416	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	September 2023	-3.5	1.1	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	September 2023	-0.5	0.4	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q3 2023	78.2	78.8
Mining Production, Year-over-Year	September 2023	-1.8	-1.9	percent
Gold Production, Year-over-Year	September 2023	0.0	0.7	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	December 8, 2023	8.250	8.250	percent
Broad Money	October 2023	4,967	4,998	billion
Narrow Money	October 2023	2,572	2,555	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	November 2023	43,281	45,445	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	Q4 2023	-17.0	-16.0	points
Business Confidence	September 2023	108.2	108.6	points
Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	48.2	45.4

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	December 6, 2023	11.16	11.20	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	December 6, 2023	8.52	8.52	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	December 2023	10.5	10.7
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	December 7, 2023	-43.1	-43.2
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	December 6, 2023	274.7	278.6	basis points