Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	0.9	0.9	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.5	0.5	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	-7.0	-7.0	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	3.1	3.2	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	2.3	-0.6	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	0.8	0.6	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	7,453	7,352	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	416	409	billion (USD)

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.2	3.2	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.4	3.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	Q4 2024	32.2	32.3	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	7.2	3.3	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	1.2	-0.4	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	3.5	-2.2	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	7.6	-3.5	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-7,379	-6,239	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-3.5	-2.7	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	0.2	-2.2	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2024	77.3	77.9
Mining Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-2.6	-1.7	percent
Gold Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	1.0	-7.9	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	7.500	7.500	percent
Broad Money	January 2025	5,477	5,440	billion
Narrow Money	January 2025	2,705	2,729	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	February 2025	47,980	46,400	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	Q1 2025	-20.0	-6.0	points
Business Confidence	January 2025	120.0	121.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	44.7	45.3

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 27, 2025	10.62	10.58	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 27, 2025	7.34	7.34	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	16.3	15.2
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 28, 2025	-40.8	-39.7
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 27, 2025	224.7	223.3	basis points