Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	January 17, 2025	0.7	0.7	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	January 2025	0.5	0.5	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	January 2025	-6.7	-6.7	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	January 2025	3.8	3.5	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	-1.4	1.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	0.4	0.3	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q1 2024	7,192	7,147	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q1 2024	381	381	billion (USD)

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	November 2024	2.9	2.8	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	November 2024	3.7	3.9	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	Q3 2024	32.5	33.3	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	October 2024	6.6	1.5	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	October 2024	1.6	-0.6	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	November 2024	-2.1	5.2	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	November 2024	-11.3	-10.1	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-7,379	-6,239	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	November 2024	-2.1	0.0	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	November 2024	-1.1	0.8	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q3 2024	77.8	78.5
Mining Production, Year-over-Year	October 2024	0.6	6.1	percent
Gold Production, Year-over-Year	October 2024	-3.9	-3.3	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	January 17, 2025	7.750	7.750	percent
Broad Money	November 2024	5,387	5,384	billion
Narrow Money	November 2024	2,667	2,790	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	December 2024	41,270	48,585	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	Q4 2024	-6.0	-5.0	points
Business Confidence	November 2024	118.1	114.2	points
Manufacturing PMI	December 2024	46.2	48.1

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	January 15, 2025	10.43	10.58	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	January 15, 2025	7.77	7.77	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	January 2025	12.1	12.0
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	January 16, 2025	-40.0	-39.8
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	January 15, 2025	211.8	217.6	basis points