Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 26, 2024	2.2	2.2	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2024	2.2	2.2	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	April 2024	-0.8	-0.8	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q1 2024	5.2	2.5	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q1 2024	3.2	2.2	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2023	2,291,701	2,255,649	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2023	1,736	1,717	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q1 2024	3.0	0.8	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q1 2024	1.0	0.8	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	3.1	3.1	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	2.4	2.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	March 2024	2.8	2.6	percent
Employed Persons	March 2024	28,571	28,690	persons
Unemployed Persons	March 2024	830	774	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2024	-5.5	1.4	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2024	-3.1	1.0	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	March 2024	2.6	4.6	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	March 2024	-12.5	-13.2	percent
Exports: First 10 Days, Year-over-Year	October 2022	-20.2	-16.9	percent
Exports: First 20 Days, Year-over-Year	September 2022	-8.7	3.8	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-3,930	1,327	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	February 2024	9.9	5.8	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	February 2024	3.1	-1.5	percent
Capacity Utilization	February 2024	104.9	101.4

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	April 26, 2024	3.500	3.500	percent
Broad Money	February 2024	5,369,610	5,349,891	billion
Narrow Money	February 2024	1,233,052	1,223,535	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	April 2024	100.7	100.7	points
Business Confidence	April 2024	73.0	71.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2024	49.8	50.7

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	April 25, 2024	3.69	3.64	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	April 25, 2024	3.43	3.43	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	April 2024	10.8	11.6
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	April 25, 2024	-14.8	-14.4
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	April 25, 2024	16.8	13.3	basis points