Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	February 11, 2025	-1.1	-1.1	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	February 2025	2.1	2.2	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	February 2025	-1.9	-1.8	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	February 2025	2.1	2.2	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.4	0.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.3	1.6	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q3 2024	2,532,169	2,553,014	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q3 2024	1,868	1,862	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.5	2.3	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.1	1.3	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	January 2025	2.2	1.9	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	January 2025	1.9	1.8	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	December 2024	3.7	2.7	percent
Employed Persons	December 2024	28,448	28,604	persons
Unemployed Persons	December 2024	1,081	787	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	December 2024	-3.1	-2.0	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	December 2024	-0.6	0.0	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-10.3	6.6	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-6.2	3.3	percent
Exports: First 10 Days, Year-over-Year	October 2022	-20.2	-16.9	percent
Exports: First 20 Days, Year-over-Year	September 2022	-8.7	3.8	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-5,545	2,687	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	December 2024	4.8	-0.2	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	December 2024	4.6	-0.3	percent
Capacity Utilization	December 2024	103.3	100.8

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	February 11, 2025	3.000	3.000	percent
Broad Money	October 2024	5,584,919	5,557,494	billion
Narrow Money	October 2024	1,250,576	1,240,052	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	January 2025	91.2	88.2	points
Business Confidence	January 2025	63.0	62.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	January 2025	50.3	49.0

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	February 10, 2025	2.80	2.81	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	February 10, 2025	2.81	2.81	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	February 2025	11.6	11.5
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	February 10, 2025	-19.5	-19.8
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	February 10, 2025	13.7	14.0	basis points