Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	2.2	2.2	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	2.1	2.1	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	-1.2	-1.1	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.9	2.0	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.3	0.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.2	1.6	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	2,588,266	2,532,169	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	1,851	1,868	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.4	2.3	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.1	1.3	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.0	2.2	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.8	1.9	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	2.7	2.9	percent
Employed Persons	February 2025	28,788	28,718	persons
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	804	853	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.6	-2.4	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2025	1.5	-0.7	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	0.4	-10.3	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	0.4	-6.2	percent
Exports: First 10 Days, Year-over-Year	October 2022	-20.2	-16.9	percent
Exports: First 20 Days, Year-over-Year	September 2022	-8.7	3.8	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-5,545	2,687	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.0	3.1	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	February 2025	1.0	-2.8	percent
Capacity Utilization	February 2025	102.9	103.4

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	2.750	2.750	percent
Broad Money	December 2024	5,649,083	5,634,840	billion
Narrow Money	December 2024	1,288,443	1,257,447	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2025	93.4	95.2	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	68.0	65.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	49.9	50.3

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	2.81	2.81	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	2.64	2.64	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	11.7	11.5
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 28, 2025	-22.3	-21.8
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	15.5	15.9	basis points