Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	January 17, 2025	0.7	0.7	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	January 2025	0.9	0.9	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	January 2025	0.0	0.1	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	January 2025	1.4	1.3	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	1.6	0.7	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	1.2	0.9	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q3 2024	2,941	2,903	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q3 2024	3,231	3,125	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	2.5	-0.2	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	0.9	0.9	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	December 2024	1.3	1.3	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	December 2024	1.3	1.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	November 2024	7.7	7.6	percent
Unemployed Persons	November 2024	2,935	2,892	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	November 2024	1.6	2.6	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	November 2024	0.3	-0.5	percent
Household Consumption, Month-over-Month	November 2024	1.9	-0.4	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	November 2024	0.4	-3.4	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	November 2024	2.9	-4.3	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-21,721	-80,671	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	November 2024	-1.1	-0.9	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	November 2024	0.2	-0.3	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2024	80.2	81.6

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Building Permits	November 2024	22,801	30,214	units
Housing Starts	November 2024	25,518	23,218	units

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	December 2024	155,837	146,951	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	December 2024	89.0	90.0	points
Business Confidence	December 2024	-11.2	-9.2	points
Manufacturing PMI	December 2024	41.9	43.1
Services PMI	December 2024	49.3	46.9

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	January 16, 2025	3.32	3.32	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	January 16, 2025	2.70	2.73	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	January 2025	19.9	19.4
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	January 16, 2025	87.9	85.6	basis points