Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	0.6	0.6	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.9	0.9	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.2	0.2	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.8	0.8	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	-0.4	1.6	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	0.6	1.2	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	2,951	2,941	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	3,148	3,231	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	1.1	2.5	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.0	0.9	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2025	0.8	0.8	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.3	1.4	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	January 2025	7.3	7.3	percent
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	3,229	3,162	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.5	2.0	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.2	0.7	percent
Household Consumption, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.4	-3.8	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	1.8	4.1	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	1.0	-1.8	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-21,721	-80,671	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-1.6	-1.5	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-0.6	-0.5	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2025	81.0	80.1

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Building Permits	February 2025	25,755	25,786	units
Housing Starts	February 2025	19,841	23,603	units

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	February 2025	154,316	145,503	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2025	92.0	93.0	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	-8.8	-7.9	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	48.9	45.8
Services PMI	March 2025	46.6	45.3

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	3.43	3.47	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	2.29	2.31	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	22.0	22.7
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	118.9	119.5	basis points