Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	-0.6	-0.7	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.0	1.0	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	-2.9	-2.7	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	3.9	3.8	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	-2.5	3.7	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	0.5	1.5	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	34,635	34,379	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	1,724	1,819	billion (USD)

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.8	3.6	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.6	3.7	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	2.7	2.6	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	2.7	-0.5	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	0.6	0.1	percent
Private Consumptions, Month-over-Month	December 2024	-1.1	0.5	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.4	5.9	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	-4.4	6.2	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-21,461	-14,923	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-2.8	-2.5	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-0.4	-1.4	percent
Capacity Utilization	January 2025	81.6	80.2

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	9.000	9.000	percent
Broad Money	January 2025	18,122	18,061	billion
Narrow Money	January 2025	8,016	7,978	billion

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Economic Activity Index	January 2025	0.0	-0.7	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Auto Production	February 2025	326,022	310,952	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	February 2025	46.3	46.6	points
Business Confidence	February 2025	50.4	51.6	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	47.0	46.0
Services PMI	February 2025	49.5	49.2

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	9.51	9.51	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 31, 2025	9.00	9.00	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	15.6	15.3
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 28, 2025	-7.1	-6.8
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	59.8	59.8	basis points