Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	June 5, 2023	-1.5	1.5	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	June 2023	1.3	1.2	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	June 2023	-1.8	-1.8	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q1 2023	4.1	2.3	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q1 2023	3.7	3.7	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2022	29,290	28,919	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2022	1,489	1,429	billion (USD)

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	April 2023	6.3	6.8	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	April 2023	7.7	8.1	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	April 2023	2.8	2.8	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	March 2023	2.4	3.1	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	March 2023	-0.0	-0.6	percent
Private Consumptions, Month-over-Month	February 2023	-0.4	1.8	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	April 2023	-0.1	3.9	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	April 2023	0.6	0.6	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q2 2022	-4,000	5,361	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	March 2023	1.5	3.2	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	March 2023	-0.9	0.5	percent
Capacity Utilization	March 2023	81.7	82.4

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	June 5, 2023	11.250	11.250	percent
Broad Money	March 2023	14,828	14,711	billion
Narrow Money	March 2023	6,664	6,649	billion

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Economic Activity Index	March 2023	2.7	3.8	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Auto Production	April 2023	314,546	300,215	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	April 2023	44.1	44.4	points
Business Confidence	May 2023	53.3	53.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	May 2023	49.8	49.9
Services PMI	May 2023	51.1	52.0

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	June 1, 2023	8.82	8.78	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	June 5, 2023	11.25	11.25	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	June 2023	17.8	17.3
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	June 2, 2023	3.0	3.1
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	June 1, 2023	-212.5	-213.7	basis points