Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	November 20, 2024	0.6	0.6	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	November 2024	1.1	1.1	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	November 2024	-2.2	-2.2	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	November 2024	4.7	4.8	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	4.1	0.6	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	1.2	1.0	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2023	32,760	32,194	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2023	1,867	1,887	billion (USD)

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2024	4.8	4.6	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2024	3.8	3.9	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	September 2024	2.7	2.8	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	August 2024	-0.8	-1.5	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	August 2024	0.1	0.7	percent
Private Consumptions, Month-over-Month	August 2024	0.2	0.9	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	September 2024	1.0	2.5	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	September 2024	-0.5	9.1	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-21,461	-14,923	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	September 2024	-0.0	0.3	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	September 2024	0.6	-0.4	percent
Capacity Utilization	September 2024	82.9	82.5

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	November 21, 2024	10.250	10.250	percent
Broad Money	August 2024	17,380	17,092	billion
Narrow Money	August 2024	7,680	7,556	billion

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Economic Activity Index	August 2024	1.0	2.0	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Auto Production	October 2024	338,368	381,529	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	October 2024	49.4	47.4	points
Business Confidence	October 2024	52.3	52.1	points
Manufacturing PMI	October 2024	47.1	48.8
Services PMI	October 2024	49.2	49.6

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	November 15, 2024	9.94	10.02	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	November 21, 2024	10.25	10.25	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	November 2024	14.0	14.4
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	November 20, 2024	-6.1	-5.3
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	November 15, 2024	-3.0	-4.9	basis points