Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	December 8, 2023	2.8	2.7	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	December 2023	1.0	1.0	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	December 2023	-1.3	-1.4	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	4.3	3.8	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	3.3	3.4	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q2 2023	31,320	30,755	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q2 2023	1,771	1,648	billion (USD)

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	November 2023	4.3	4.3	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	November 2023	5.3	5.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	October 2023	2.6	2.7	percent

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	September 2023	2.6	3.0	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	September 2023	-0.2	-0.5	percent
Private Consumptions, Month-over-Month	September 2023	0.8	0.6	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	2.5	-2.2	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-1.6	-1.0	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-21,461	-14,923	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	September 2023	4.5	4.4	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	September 2023	0.2	0.3	percent
Capacity Utilization	September 2023	78.9	78.4

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	December 8, 2023	11.250	11.250	percent
Broad Money	October 2023	15,743	15,586	billion
Narrow Money	October 2023	7,052	6,975	billion

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Economic Activity Index	September 2023	3.7	3.5	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Auto Production	November 2023	324,429	350,306	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	November 2023	47.3	46.2	points
Business Confidence	November 2023	54.0	54.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	50.2	51.2
Services PMI	November 2023	52.7	52.9

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	December 7, 2023	9.18	9.21	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	December 8, 2023	11.25	11.25	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	December 2023	17.9	17.8
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	December 7, 2023	5.2	6.3
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	December 7, 2023	-106.6	-108.1	basis points