Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 1, 2025	1.1	0.8	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2025	1.8	1.8	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	April 2025	-3.5	-3.5	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 2025	1.3	1.4	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	3.1	2.6	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	2.3	1.0	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	6,565	6,441	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	609	618	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	3.0	0.7	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	0.5	0.5	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.3	0.9	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.0	2.7	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	9.0	8.9	percent
Employed Persons	February 2025	4,939	4,882	persons
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	509	558	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.7	2.9	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.1	-0.6	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.0	7.7	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	-0.9	7.1	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	31,005	34,106	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-3.3	5.4	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-6.4	4.7	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2024	87.7	87.0

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
New Orders, Month-over-Month	January 2025	2.0	2.2	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	April 2, 2025	2.250	2.250	percent
Broad Money	January 2025	4,922	4,912	billion
Narrow Money	January 2025	4,003	3,985	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2025	89.8	94.6	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	99.1	101.2	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	53.6	53.5
Services PMI	February 2025	50.8	50.2

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 31, 2025	2.66	2.69	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 31, 2025	2.31	2.31	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	April 2025	18.0	18.0
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	April 1, 2025	-28.7	-29.0
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 31, 2025	45.8	46.6	basis points