Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	May 7, 2024	2.1	2.0	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	May 2024	1.9	1.9	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	May 2024	4.3	4.3	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	May 2024	2.1	2.1	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q1 2024	1.1	9.7	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q1 2024	6.3	4.9	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2023	24,506	24,075	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2023	770	760	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	2.6	4.4	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	5.1	9.2	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	April 2024	-100.0	2.1	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	April 2024	-100.4	2.1	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	March 2024	3.4	3.5	percent
Employed Persons	March 2024	11,581	11,572	persons
Unemployed Persons	March 2024	405	406	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	March 2024	-1.1	2.4	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	March 2024	-0.5	-0.0	percent
Real Wholesale Sales, Year-over-Year	March 2024	6.7	2.9	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	March 2024	15.9	18.9	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	March 2024	4.3	-3.0	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	March 2024	7.0	7.2	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	March 2024	-0.8	3.3	percent

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
New Orders, Month-over-Month	March 2024	3.3	-3.2	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	May 7, 2024	2.000	2.000	percent
Broad Money	March 2024	62,202	61,653	billion
Narrow Money	March 2024	11,166	10,982	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	April 2024	63.4	73.5	points
Manufacturing PMI	April 2024	50.2	49.3

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	May 6, 2024	1.68	1.70	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	May 6, 2024	1.14	1.21	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	May 2024	22.8	22.6
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	May 6, 2024	28.6	30.8	basis points