Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	October 21, 2024	0.9	0.9	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	October 2024	1.9	1.9	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	October 2024	-2.2	-2.2	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	October 2024	1.9	1.7	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q2 2024	1.8	2.8	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q2 2024	0.7	0.3	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q2 2024	2,812	2,782	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q2 2024	3,548	3,527	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q2 2024	0.7	2.4	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q2 2024	0.0	0.3	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	September 2024	1.7	2.3	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	September 2024	3.2	3.6	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	August 2024	4.0	4.1	percent
Employed Persons	July 2024	33,372	33,232	persons
Unemployed Persons	July 2024	1,386	1,437	persons
Jobless Claims	September 2024	1,796,900	1,769,000	persons
Job Openings	August 2024	841	856	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	September 2024	4.1	2.3	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	September 2024	0.3	1.1	percent
Index of Services	August 2024	101.9	101.8	points

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	August 2024	4.4	-13.6	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	August 2024	2.0	1.1	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q2 2024	-35,832	-17,446	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	August 2024	-1.6	-2.2	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	August 2024	0.5	-0.7	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2020	73.9	64.5

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Mortgage Approvals	August 2024	64,858	62,496

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	October 21, 2024	5.000	5.000	percent
Broad Money	August 2024	3,510	3,535	billion
Narrow Money	August 2024	2,175	2,199	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	September 2024	275,239	84,575	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	September 2024	-20.0	-13.0	points
Business Confidence	September 2024	-35.0	-22.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	September 2024	51.5	52.5
Services PMI	September 2024	52.4	53.7
CBI Distributive Trades Survey	September 2024	4.0	-27.0	points
CBI Industrial Trends Orders	September 2024	-35.0	-22.0	points

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	October 18, 2024	4.07	4.10	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	October 18, 2024	4.70	4.77	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	October 2024	14.8	14.9
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	October 18, 2024	-4.3	-4.4
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	October 18, 2024	16.1	20.2	basis points