Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	July 24, 2024	0.1	0.1	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	July 2024	1.6	1.6	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	July 2024	-2.7	-2.6	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	July 2024	2.1	2.0	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q1 2024	2.5	-1.2	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q1 2024	0.2	-0.2	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q1 2024	2,753	2,709	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q1 2024	3,490	3,363	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	-0.2	-3.5	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	0.3	0.2	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	June 2024	2.0	2.0	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	June 2024	4.2	4.2	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	May 2024	4.4	4.4	percent
Employed Persons	April 2024	32,999	32,967	persons
Unemployed Persons	April 2024	1,528	1,510	persons
Jobless Claims	June 2024	1,662,500	1,630,200	persons
Job Openings	May 2024	889	905	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	June 2024	-0.7	1.6	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	June 2024	-1.5	2.9	percent
Index of Services	May 2024	105.2	104.9	points

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	May 2024	-11.6	-11.8	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	May 2024	-7.4	5.6	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2024	-26,619	-26,290	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	May 2024	0.4	-0.7	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	May 2024	0.2	-0.9	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2020	73.9	64.5

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Mortgage Approvals	May 2024	59,991	60,821

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	July 24, 2024	5.250	5.250	percent
Broad Money	May 2024	3,538	3,552	billion
Narrow Money	May 2024	2,211	2,214	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	June 2024	179,263	147,678	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	July 2024	-13.0	-14.0	points
Business Confidence	June 2024	-18.0	-33.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	July 2024	51.8	50.9
Services PMI	July 2024	52.4	52.1
CBI Distributive Trades Survey	June 2024	-24.0	8.0	points
CBI Industrial Trends Orders	June 2024	-18.0	-33.0	points

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	July 23, 2024	4.16	4.15	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	July 23, 2024	5.08	5.16	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	July 2024	14.2	13.9
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	July 23, 2024	-4.8	-4.8
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	July 23, 2024	-16.5	-15.6	basis points