Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	January 17, 2025	-0.0	-0.0	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	January 2025	1.9	1.9	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	January 2025	-2.6	-2.6	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	January 2025	2.7	2.6	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	0.1	1.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	0.9	0.7	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q3 2024	2,851	2,818	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q3 2024	3,707	3,556	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	2.2	1.5	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	1.5	0.1	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	December 2024	2.6	2.6	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	December 2024	3.2	3.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	October 2024	4.3	4.3	percent
Employed Persons	September 2024	33,770	33,749	persons
Unemployed Persons	September 2024	1,508	1,509	persons
Jobless Claims	November 2024	1,768,500	1,768,200	persons
Job Openings	October 2024	818	828	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	November 2024	0.1	1.6	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	November 2024	0.3	-0.9	percent
Index of Services	November 2024	101.8	101.7	points

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	November 2024	-13.4	-11.6	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	November 2024	4.9	2.7	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q3 2024	-23,534	-30,286	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	November 2024	-1.8	-1.1	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	November 2024	-0.4	-0.5	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2020	73.9	64.5

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Mortgage Approvals	November 2024	65,720	68,129

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	January 17, 2025	4.750	4.750	percent
Broad Money	November 2024	3,580	3,568	billion
Narrow Money	November 2024	2,221	2,217	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	December 2024	140,786	153,610	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	December 2024	-17.0	-18.0	points
Business Confidence	December 2024	-40.0	-19.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	December 2024	47.0	48.0
Services PMI	December 2024	51.1	50.8
CBI Distributive Trades Survey	December 2024	-15.0	-18.0	points
CBI Industrial Trends Orders	December 2024	-40.0	-19.0	points

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	January 16, 2025	4.67	4.70	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	January 16, 2025	4.75	4.76	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	January 2025	13.9	13.8
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	January 16, 2025	-6.1	-6.0
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	January 16, 2025	44.5	42.0	basis points