Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	-0.3	-0.3	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.9	1.9	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	-2.6	-2.6	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	2.7	2.7	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.4	0.0	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.5	1.2	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	2,909	2,876	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	3,728	3,740	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.5	1.9	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.2	1.1	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.8	3.0	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.5	3.8	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	January 2025	4.4	4.4	percent
Employed Persons	December 2024	33,922	33,863	persons
Unemployed Persons	December 2024	1,545	1,552	persons
Jobless Claims	February 2025	1,775,000	1,730,800	persons
Job Openings	January 2025	816	821	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.2	0.8	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.9	1.7	percent
Index of Services	January 2025	102.3	102.2	points

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-10.0	-13.8	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	1.2	6.5	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q4 2024	-26,948	-16,238	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-1.5	-1.9	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-0.9	0.6	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2020	73.9	64.5

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Mortgage Approvals	February 2025	65,481	66,041

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	4.500	4.500	percent
Broad Money	January 2025	3,646	3,595	billion
Narrow Money	January 2025	2,258	2,229	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	February 2025	84,054	139,345	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2025	-19.0	-20.0	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	-29.0	-28.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	44.6	46.9
Services PMI	March 2025	53.2	51.0
CBI Distributive Trades Survey	March 2025	-41.0	-23.0	points
CBI Industrial Trends Orders	March 2025	-29.0	-28.0	points

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	4.65	4.73	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	4.36	4.42	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	15.3	15.6
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 28, 2025	-3.9	-3.7
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	54.7	65.4	basis points