Brazil Key Economic Indicators

Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs March 31, 2025 3.1 3.0 percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs March 2025 0.7 0.7 percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs March 2025 1.3 1.3 percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs March 2025 5.8 5.1 percent

National Accounts

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter Q4 2024 0.7 3.0 percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year Q4 2024 3.3 3.5 percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency Q4 2024 12,104 11,859 billion
Nominal GDP, USD Q4 2024 2,075 2,139 billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter Q4 2024 -3.9 5.4 percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year Q4 2024 3.8 5.4 percent

Prices

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year February 2025 5.1 4.6 percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year February 2025 4.5 3.7 percent

Labor

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Unemployment Rate February 2025 6.5 6.5 percent
Unemployed Persons February 2025 7,472 7,204 persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year January 2025 2.5 4.0 percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month January 2025 -0.1 -0.3 percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year February 2025 -1.8 -5.2 percent
Imports, Year-over-Year February 2025 27.6 12.5 percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Current Account, USD Q1 2023 -30,362 -46,652 million (USD)

Production

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year January 2025 1.7 0.3 percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month January 2025 0.0 -0.3 percent
Capacity Utilization January 2025 78.4 78.4

Money & Credit

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate March 31, 2025 14.250 14.250 percent
Broad Money January 2025 12,072 12,158 billion
Narrow Money January 2025 662 662 billion

Government

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Federal Tax Revenues December 2024 261,300 209,200 million

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Economic Activity Index January 2025 3.7 2.4 percent

Automobile

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Car Registrations February 2025 184,960 171,248 units
Auto Production February 2025 217,361 175,541 units

Surveys

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
Consumer Confidence February 2025 120.5 123.5 points
Business Confidence March 2025 49.2 49.1 points
Manufacturing PMI February 2025 53.0 50.7
Services PMI February 2025 50.6 47.6

Market

Indicator Reference Last Previous Unit
10-Year Bond Yield March 28, 2025 15.06 15.16 percent
3-Month Bill Rate March 31, 2025 14.25 14.25 percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE) March 2025 9.0 8.6
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted) March 28, 2025 -29.6 -29.4
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve March 28, 2025 4.8 -11.5 basis points
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