Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	June 5, 2023	1.9	1.9	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	June 2023	1.2	1.2	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	June 2023	-0.7	-0.8	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q1 2023	8.0	-0.2	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q1 2023	3.4	2.5	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2022	10,263	10,096	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2022	1,954	1,926	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2022	1.2	3.9	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2022	4.3	4.6	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	April 2023	4.2	4.7	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	April 2023	7.3	7.2	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	April 2023	8.1	8.3	percent
Unemployed Persons	April 2023	9,095	9,432	persons
Net Payrolls	April 2023	180	195	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	March 2023	2.1	1.8	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	March 2023	0.8	-0.0	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	May 2023	11.5	-5.1	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	May 2023	-12.2	-7.8	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q3 2022	-77,550	-60,225	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	April 2023	-0.8	0.3	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	April 2023	-0.6	1.0	percent
Capacity Utilization	March 2023	79.2	78.9

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	June 5, 2023	13.750	13.750	percent
Broad Money	March 2023	9,853	9,805	billion
Narrow Money	March 2023	601	608	billion

Government

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Federal Tax Revenues	March 2023	171,056	158,995	million

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Economic Activity Index	March 2023	3.4	4.6	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	April 2023	160,730	198,974	units
Auto Production	April 2023	178,853	221,835	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	April 2023	125.1	127.4	points
Business Confidence	May 2023	49.2	48.8	points
Manufacturing PMI	May 2023	47.1	44.3
Services PMI	April 2023	54.5	51.8

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	June 1, 2023	11.41	11.41	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	June 5, 2023	13.75	13.75	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	June 2023	8.2	7.7
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	June 2, 2023	-15.6	-16.8
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	June 1, 2023	4.5	4.9	basis points