Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 21, 2025	1.8	1.8	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.7	0.7	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.3	1.3	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	5.9	5.1	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.7	3.0	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	3.3	3.5	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	12,104	11,859	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	2,075	2,139	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	-3.9	5.4	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	3.8	5.4	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	5.1	4.6	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	4.5	3.7	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	January 2025	6.5	6.5	percent
Unemployed Persons	January 2025	7,204	6,823	persons
Net Payrolls	January 2025	137	-536	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	2.5	4.0	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-0.1	-0.3	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	-1.8	-5.2	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	27.6	12.5	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-30,362	-46,652	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	1.7	0.3	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	0.0	-0.3	percent
Capacity Utilization	January 2025	78.4	78.4

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 22, 2025	14.250	14.250	percent
Broad Money	January 2025	12,072	12,158	billion
Narrow Money	January 2025	662	662	billion

Government

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Federal Tax Revenues	December 2024	261,300	209,200	million

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Economic Activity Index	January 2025	3.7	2.4	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	February 2025	184,960	171,248	units
Auto Production	February 2025	217,361	175,541	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	February 2025	120.5	123.5	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	49.2	49.1	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	53.0	50.7
Services PMI	February 2025	50.6	47.6

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 21, 2025	14.88	14.88	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 22, 2025	14.25	14.25	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	9.1	8.6
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 21, 2025	-29.2	-28.5
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 21, 2025	-3.1	-3.1	basis points