Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	December 8, 2023	1.6	1.6	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	December 2023	1.2	1.1	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	December 2023	0.4	0.4	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	0.6	4.0	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	2.5	3.4	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q2 2023	10,617	10,417	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q2 2023	2,144	2,006	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	4.4	3.5	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	3.2	3.0	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	4.8	5.2	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	5.6	6.0	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	October 2023	7.9	7.8	percent
Unemployed Persons	October 2023	8,259	8,316	persons
Net Payrolls	October 2023	190	212	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	September 2023	2.2	2.3	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	September 2023	0.6	-0.1	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	November 2023	-1.2	8.0	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	November 2023	-11.4	-12.2	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-30,362	-46,652	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	October 2023	0.5	1.8	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	October 2023	0.1	-0.0	percent
Capacity Utilization	September 2023	78.1	78.5

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	December 8, 2023	12.250	12.250	percent
Broad Money	September 2023	10,487	10,395	billion
Narrow Money	September 2023	607	602	billion

Government

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Federal Tax Revenues	October 2023	215,600	174,316	million

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Economic Activity Index	September 2023	1.1	1.0	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	November 2023	212,649	217,848	units
Auto Production	November 2023	202,675	199,758	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	October 2023	132.8	132.6	points
Business Confidence	November 2023	50.4	50.5	points
Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	49.4	48.6
Services PMI	November 2023	51.2	51.0

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	December 7, 2023	10.75	10.79	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	December 8, 2023	12.25	12.25	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	December 2023	9.0	9.1
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	December 7, 2023	-19.1	-19.0
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	December 7, 2023	73.3	71.4	basis points