Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 1, 2025	1.1	1.0	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2025	2.4	2.4	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.2	0.2	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 2025	5.4	5.4	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	2.0	-2.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	0.2	-0.7	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	82,913	81,376	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	217	227	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	6.6	4.5	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	5.2	5.7	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	5.5	5.4	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	6.2	5.8	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	4.2	4.2	percent
Employed Persons	February 2025	4,689	4,697	persons
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	214	213	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	4.2	0.3	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	2.2	-1.0	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	0.4	11.7	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	5.5	8.4	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-8,123	-14,119	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-3.9	-7.8	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	0.8	-2.9	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2025	75.1	74.5

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	April 2, 2025	6.500	6.500	percent
Broad Money	January 2025	45,758	45,245	billion
Narrow Money	January 2025	33,079	33,092	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2025	-26.5	-27.6	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	-13.3	-11.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	51.2	51.1

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	April 1, 2025	7.10	7.14	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	April 1, 2025	6.40	6.39	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	April 2025	10.5	10.5
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	April 1, 2025	25.2	25.0
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	April 1, 2025	65.6	70.0	basis points