Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 1, 2025	1.4	1.5	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2025	0.2	0.2	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	April 2025	3.7	3.7	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 2025	2.2	2.0	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.5	0.0	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	0.6	0.6	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	2,210	2,191	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	2,358	2,407	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.8	2.3	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.4	0.8	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2025	2.0	1.6	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2025	1.5	1.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	5.9	6.2	percent
Employed Persons	February 2025	24,332	24,286	persons
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	1,517	1,596	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	0.1	1.1	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-0.4	0.4	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	4.6	-0.0	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	11.2	-0.4	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q4 2022	-7,838	-73,412	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-0.8	-6.6	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	3.2	-2.7	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2025	74.7	75.1

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	February 2025	137,922	133,692	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2025	95.0	98.8	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	86.0	86.9	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	46.6	47.4
Services PMI	February 2025	53.0	50.4

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	April 1, 2025	3.79	3.86	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	April 1, 2025	2.26	2.26	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	April 2025	18.5	18.4
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	April 1, 2025	148.2	152.0	basis points