Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	0.9	-0.0	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.7	0.7	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.0	1.0	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	3.5	3.6	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	2.2	1.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.2	0.7	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	619,966	613,018	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	4,068	4,116	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.1	3.0	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.1	0.9	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.6	4.0	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	1.5	1.6	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	January 2025	2.5	2.5	percent
Employed Persons	January 2025	6,827	6,814	persons
Unemployed Persons	January 2025	174	172	persons
New Job Openings to Applicants	January 2025	2.32	2.27

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2025	0.9	0.5	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.9	0.8	percent
Tertiary Industry Activity Index	January 2025	101.6	101.9	points
Wholesale Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2025	7.3	13.0	percent
Household Consumption, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-4.5	1.6	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	15.0	5.9	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	4.5	14.5	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	53,446	73,646	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	February 2025	4.5	2.3	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	February 2025	2.5	-1.1	percent
Capacity Utilization	January 2025	105.3	100.8

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Japan Core Machinery Orders	January 2025	-3.5	-0.8	percent

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Building Permits	January 2025	7,906	8,220	units
Housing Starts	January 2025	64,488	65,260	units

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	0.500	0.500	percent
Broad Money	February 2025	1,612,850	1,612,549	billion
Narrow Money	February 2025	1,100,426	1,099,862	billion

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Coincident Index	January 2025	116.2	116.1

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	February 2025	234,257	216,664	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	February 2025	35.0	35.2	points
TANKAN Business Conditions	Q4 2024	14.0	13.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	48.3	49.0
Services PMI	March 2025	49.5	53.7
Small & Medium-Sized Enterprises Sales Forecast	March 2025	3.4	2.5

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	1.55	1.59	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	0.35	0.28	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	21.5	21.1
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 28, 2025	-45.4	-46.3
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	69.9	73.5	basis points