Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	December 8, 2023	-0.5	-0.5	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	December 2023	0.8	0.8	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	December 2023	3.0	3.0	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	-2.9	3.6	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	1.6	2.3	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q3 2023	594,998	595,066	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q3 2023	4,118	4,332	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	-0.6	-2.5	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	0.1	0.4	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	3.3	3.0	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	2.8	2.7	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	October 2023	2.5	2.6	percent
Employed Persons	October 2023	6,749	6,756	persons
Unemployed Persons	October 2023	175	177	persons
New Job Openings to Applicants	October 2023	2.24	2.22

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	October 2023	0.8	3.1	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	October 2023	-2.4	0.1	percent
Tertiary Industry Activity Index	September 2023	101.3	102.3	points
Wholesale Sales, Year-over-Year	October 2023	0.6	-0.6	percent
Household Consumption, Month-over-Month	October 2023	-0.1	0.3	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	1.5	4.2	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-15.4	-12.2	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	53,446	73,646	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-0.9	-3.4	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	October 2023	1.0	0.5	percent
Capacity Utilization	September 2023	106.6	106.2

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Japan Core Machinery Orders	September 2023	1.4	-0.5	percent

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Building Permits	October 2023	10,416	9,037	units
Housing Starts	October 2023	67,320	66,658	units

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	December 8, 2023	-0.100	-0.100	percent
Broad Money	October 2023	1,593,890	1,591,768	billion
Narrow Money	October 2023	1,078,665	1,075,657	billion

Cyclical Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Coincident Index	October 2023	115.9	115.7

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	November 2023	224,586	214,683	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	November 2023	36.1	35.7	points
TANKAN Business Conditions	Q3 2023	9.0	5.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	48.3	48.7
Services PMI	November 2023	50.8	51.6
Small & Medium-Sized Enterprises Sales Forecast	November 2023	-2.0	1.2

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	December 7, 2023	0.75	0.65	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	December 7, 2023	-0.16	-0.16	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	December 2023	16.5	16.4
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	December 7, 2023	-44.2	-46.4
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	December 7, 2023	72.4	67.2	basis points