Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	December 8, 2023	-0.2	-0.2	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	December 2023	1.1	1.1	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	December 2023	1.7	1.8	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	1.1	-0.5	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	0.4	0.4	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q2 2023	794	794	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q2 2023	883	858	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	0.7	1.4	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	1.8	2.2	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	November 2023	1.4	1.7	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	November 2023	1.4	1.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	November 2023	2.1	2.1	percent
Unemployed Persons	November 2023	2	2	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-0.2	-1.5	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	October 2023	0.3	0.5	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-5.3	3.8	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-7.3	-5.7	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	64,182	79,117	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	2.0	-0.7	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	Q3 2023	-0.9	-5.2	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q2 2023	83.6	83.2

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	December 8, 2023	1.750	1.750	percent
Broad Money	October 2023	1,131	1,130	billion
Narrow Money	October 2023	631	636	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	October 2023	20,115	21,502	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	Q4 2023	-40.0	-27.0	points
Business Confidence	November 2023	-29.6	-37.8	points
Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	42.1	40.6

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	December 7, 2023	0.71	0.69	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	December 7, 2023	1.46	1.53	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	December 2023	23.2	23.1
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	December 7, 2023	20.0	20.4
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	December 7, 2023	-39.4	-43.5	basis points