Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 19, 2024	1.0	1.0	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2024	1.1	1.1	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	April 2024	0.5	0.6	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	1.2	1.0	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	0.6	0.4	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2023	799	796	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2023	902	901	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	1.1	0.6	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	1.3	1.8	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	1.0	1.2	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	1.0	1.1	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	March 2024	2.3	2.3	percent
Unemployed Persons	March 2024	2	2	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2024	-0.4	0.3	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2024	-0.1	0.8	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	March 2024	-6.2	-4.7	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	March 2024	-6.2	-4.0	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	64,182	79,117	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	-0.4	1.8	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	Q4 2023	5.9	-1.0	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2024	79.0	79.5

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	April 19, 2024	1.500	1.500	percent
Broad Money	January 2024	1,134	1,136	billion
Narrow Money	January 2024	611	619	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	March 2024	23,554	18,422	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	Q1 2024	-43.1	-49.1	points
Business Confidence	March 2024	11.5	10.2	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2024	45.2	44.0

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	April 18, 2024	0.72	0.72	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	April 18, 2024	1.31	1.17	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	April 2024	22.1	23.4
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	April 18, 2024	17.2	17.2
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	April 18, 2024	-30.8	-29.9	basis points