Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	1.7	1.7	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.1	1.1	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.7	0.7	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.4	0.3	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.8	1.7	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.6	1.6	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	829	828	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	945	956	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	2.1	2.2	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	2.1	1.9	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	0.3	0.4	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	0.9	0.9	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	2.7	2.7	percent
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	3	3	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	1.2	2.2	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-0.1	0.5	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	14.8	6.2	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2025	7.5	1.9	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	63,950	79,130	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	2.4	3.0	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	Q4 2024	-0.8	-0.2	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q3 2024	79.9	79.2

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	0.250	0.250	percent
Broad Money	January 2025	1,152	1,157	billion
Narrow Money	January 2025	632	631	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	February 2025	16,103	14,775	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	Q1 2025	-31.1	-34.5	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	-10.7	3.4	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	49.6	47.5

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	0.58	0.62	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	0.10	0.09	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	23.3	23.7
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 28, 2025	17.3	17.4
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	44.5	41.8	basis points