Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	0.7	0.7	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.8	1.8	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.6	1.7	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	3.9	3.9	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	1.5	3.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	2.1	1.9	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	1,162	1,140	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	1,239	1,253	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	4.0	2.6	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	1.9	1.8	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.8	3.3	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	3.6	3.1	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	3.8	3.8	percent
Employed Persons	February 2025	9,811	9,815	persons
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	392	386	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	1.3	0.9	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	1.6	0.3	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	9.9	0.4	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	5.9	0.7	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	92,008	89,294	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	0.7	-2.2	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	0.8	-1.1	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2025	77.6	77.0

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2025	-34.0	-32.0	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	-0.1	0.2	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	50.0	48.4

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	2.92	2.96	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	2.24	2.30	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	25.1	26.3
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	81.8	81.6	basis points