Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	April 25, 2024	0.3	0.3	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	April 2024	0.7	0.7	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	April 2024	-1.8	-1.8	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	-1.1	-0.0	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	-0.2	-0.3	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2023	4,212	4,130	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2023	4,533	4,493	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2023	1.0	-0.1	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2023	-0.2	-1.5	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	2.2	2.5	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	3.3	3.3	percent
Producer Price Index, Year-over-Year	March 2024	-2.9	-4.1	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2024	3.2	3.2	percent
Employed Persons	February 2024	46,070	46,054	persons
Unemployed Persons	March 2024	2,719	2,714	persons
Job Openings	March 2024	720	726	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2024	-2.7	-1.2	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2024	-1.9	-0.3	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	February 2024	-4.4	0.4	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	February 2024	-8.7	-8.3	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	252,221	187,574	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	February 2024	-5.6	-5.3	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	February 2024	1.9	1.3	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2024	81.3	81.9

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
New Orders, Month-over-Month	February 2024	0.2	-11.4	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	April 26, 2024	4.000	4.000	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	March 2024	263,844	217,388	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2024	-13.4	-14.3	points
Business Confidence	March 2024	-16.6	-17.9	points
Manufacturing PMI	April 2024	42.2	41.9
Services PMI	April 2024	53.3	50.1
GfK Consumer Climate	May 2024	-24.2	-27.3
ZEW Economic Sentiment	April 2024	42.9	31.7
ifo Business Climate Index	April 2024	89.4	87.9

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	April 25, 2024	2.64	2.59	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	April 25, 2024	3.74	3.76	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	April 2024	15.2	15.8
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	April 25, 2024	-37.5	-36.9	basis points