Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	December 8, 2023	-1.2	-1.2	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	December 2023	0.8	0.8	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	December 2023	-1.5	-1.4	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	-0.5	0.6	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	-0.4	0.1	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q3 2023	4,133	4,102	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q3 2023	4,497	4,465	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	-1.1	0.6	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	-2.0	-0.3	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	November 2023	3.2	3.7	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	November 2023	3.8	4.3	percent
Producer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-11.0	-14.7	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	October 2023	3.1	3.1	percent
Employed Persons	October 2023	45,988	45,973	persons
Unemployed Persons	November 2023	2,702	2,680	persons
Job Openings	November 2023	729	731	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-0.1	-3.5	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	October 2023	1.1	-0.1	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-8.1	-7.5	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-16.3	-16.7	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	252,221	187,574	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	October 2023	-3.2	-3.5	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	October 2023	-0.5	-1.7	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2023	81.9	82.9

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
New Orders, Month-over-Month	October 2023	-3.7	0.7	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	December 8, 2023	4.000	4.000	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	November 2023	245,701	218,959	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	November 2023	-16.5	-15.5	points
Business Confidence	November 2023	-15.6	-14.9	points
Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	42.6	40.8
Services PMI	November 2023	49.6	48.2
GfK Consumer Climate	December 2023	-27.8	-28.3
ZEW Economic Sentiment	November 2023	9.8	-1.1
ifo Business Climate Index	November 2023	87.3	86.9

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	December 7, 2023	2.22	2.24	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	December 7, 2023	4.04	4.07	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	December 2023	14.4	14.1
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	December 7, 2023	-37.6	-37.1	basis points