Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 21, 2025	0.6	0.6	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.6	0.6	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	-3.4	-3.3	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	2.2	2.2	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	-0.8	0.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	-0.2	-0.3	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	4,352	4,312	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	4,642	4,738	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.3	0.9	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	0.4	0.0	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.2	2.4	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.8	2.9	percent
Producer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	0.7	0.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	January 2025	3.5	3.5	percent
Employed Persons	January 2025	46,051	46,062	persons
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	2,886	2,881	persons
Job Openings	February 2025	654	661	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	2.9	2.8	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	0.2	-0.9	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-0.1	3.9	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	8.7	5.1	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	252,221	187,574	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-1.7	-3.1	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	2.6	-2.5	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2025	76.4	76.8

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
New Orders, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-7.0	5.9	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 22, 2025	2.500	2.500	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	February 2025	203,434	207,640	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	February 2025	-11.4	-11.9	points
Business Confidence	February 2025	-22.9	-25.2	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	46.5	45.0
Services PMI	February 2025	51.1	52.5
GfK Consumer Climate	March 2025	-24.7	-22.6
ZEW Economic Sentiment	March 2025	51.6	26.0
ifo Business Climate Index	February 2025	85.2	85.2

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 20, 2025	2.73	2.73	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 21, 2025	2.30	2.29	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	19.2	19.0
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 21, 2025	67.0	65.4	basis points