Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	1.1	1.0	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.6	0.6	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	-3.4	-3.3	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	2.3	2.2	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	-0.8	0.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	-0.2	-0.3	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	4,352	4,312	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	4,642	4,738	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	0.3	0.9	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	0.4	0.0	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.2	2.4	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.8	2.9	percent
Producer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	0.7	0.5	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	January 2025	3.5	3.5	percent
Employed Persons	February 2025	46,039	46,049	persons
Unemployed Persons	March 2025	2,922	2,896	persons
Job Openings	March 2025	651	654	thousand

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	February 2025	4.9	3.3	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.8	0.7	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-0.1	3.9	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	8.7	5.1	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	252,221	187,574	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	-1.7	-3.1	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	2.6	-2.5	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q1 2025	76.4	76.8

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
New Orders, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-7.0	5.9	percent

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	2.500	2.500	percent

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Car Registrations	February 2025	203,434	207,640	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	March 2025	-10.1	-11.4	points
Business Confidence	March 2025	-20.8	-22.8	points
Manufacturing PMI	March 2025	48.3	46.5
Services PMI	March 2025	50.2	51.1
GfK Consumer Climate	April 2025	-24.5	-24.6
ZEW Economic Sentiment	March 2025	51.6	26.0
ifo Business Climate Index	March 2025	86.7	85.3

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	2.66	2.71	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	2.23	2.26	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	18.8	19.0
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	73.5	74.2	basis points