Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	January 17, 2025	1.7	1.7	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	January 2025	1.7	1.7	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	January 2025	-4.1	-4.0	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	January 2025	2.1	2.3	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	-7.1	8.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	3.1	4.2	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q1 2024	5,083	5,162	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q1 2024	483	477	billion (USD)
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2024	-0.0	6.7	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2024	1.7	1.4	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	December 2024	2.2	2.4	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	December 2024	2.7	3.0	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	November 2024	3.7	4.0	percent
Employed Persons	November 2024	2,915	2,909	persons
Unemployed Persons	November 2024	111	122	persons

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	November 2024	-0.1	-0.3	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	November 2024	0.3	0.3	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	December 2024	8.4	-0.9	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	December 2024	9.3	-0.1	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q4 2022	153,592	237,905	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	November 2024	0.8	2.8	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	November 2024	0.2	9.8	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2024	78.9	78.3

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	January 17, 2025	4.500	4.500	percent
Broad Money	November 2024	3,251	3,234	billion
Narrow Money	November 2024	2,801	2,774	billion

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	Q4 2024	-14.4	-16.3	points
Business Confidence	Q4 2024	16.0	10.0	points
Manufacturing PMI	December 2024	50.3	50.5

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	January 15, 2025	4.02	4.07	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	January 15, 2025	4.40	4.39	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	January 2025	12.8	12.1
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	January 16, 2025	-24.9	-24.6
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	January 15, 2025	-0.8	-0.2	basis points