Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	December 8, 2023	0.1	-0.1	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	December 2023	1.4	1.4	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	December 2023	0.8	0.9	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	-1.1	1.4	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	0.5	1.2	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q2 2023	2,826	2,807	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q2 2023	2,104	2,075	billion (USD)
Monthly Gross Domestic Product, Month-over-Month	October 2023	0.2	0.1	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q3 2023	0.1	-0.1	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q3 2023	1.5	1.6	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	3.1	3.8	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	October 2023	3.4	3.2	percent
Common Inflation (CPI-Common)	October 2023	4.2	4.4	percent
Median Inflation (CPI-Median)	October 2023	3.6	3.9	percent
Trimmed Inflation (CPI-Trim)	October 2023	3.5	3.7	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	November 2023	5.8	5.7	percent
Employed Persons	November 2023	20,312	20,288	persons
Unemployed Persons	November 2023	1,240	1,229	persons
Jobless Claims	September 2023	436,720	440,690	persons
Hours Worked	November 2023	653,888	658,817

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	September 2023	1.6	1.2	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	September 2023	0.2	-0.5	percent
Wholesale Sales, Month-over-Month	October 2023	-1.1	0.7	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	September 2023	1.2	0.1	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	September 2023	-0.6	-1.5	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-21,758	-20,202	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	September 2023	-0.7	-0.5	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	September 2023	-0.1	-0.6	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q2 2023	81.4	81.8

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
New Orders, Month-over-Month	October 2023	-8.1	-1.1	percent

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Building Permits	October 2023	11,235,809	10,987,043	thousand CAD
Housing Starts	October 2023	274,681	270,669	units

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	December 8, 2023	5.000	5.000	percent
Broad Money	September 2023	3,523	3,531	billion
Narrow Money	September 2023	1,512	1,512	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	September 2023	163,279	158,531	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	September 2023	59.6	61.2	points
CFIB Business Barometer	November 2023	37.7	41.1	points
Manufacturing PMI	November 2023	47.7	48.6
Services PMI	November 2023	44.5	46.6

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	December 7, 2023	3.31	3.30	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	December 6, 2023	4.93	4.99	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	December 2023	18.0	18.0
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	December 7, 2023	-13.6	-13.5
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	December 7, 2023	-76.2	-79.6	basis points