Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 31, 2025	-0.0	0.1	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	March 2025	1.8	1.9	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	March 2025	0.5	0.5	percent
Inflation Nowcast by Augur Labs	March 2025	2.4	2.6	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	2.6	2.2	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	2.4	1.9	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2024	3,135	3,086	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2024	2,241	2,263	billion (USD)
Monthly Gross Domestic Product, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.0	0.4	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q4 2024	5.6	4.2	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q4 2024	3.6	2.5	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.6	1.9	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	February 2025	2.9	2.2	percent
Common Inflation (CPI-Common)	February 2025	2.5	2.2	percent
Median Inflation (CPI-Median)	February 2025	2.9	2.7	percent
Trimmed Inflation (CPI-Trim)	February 2025	2.9	2.7	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	February 2025	6.6	6.6	percent
Employed Persons	February 2025	20,994	20,993	persons
Unemployed Persons	February 2025	1,473	1,491	persons
Jobless Claims	January 2025	477,640	479,680	persons
Hours Worked	February 2025	673,570	682,747

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	January 2025	2.7	3.3	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	January 2025	-1.1	2.5	percent
Wholesale Sales, Month-over-Month	February 2025	0.4	1.7	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	20.3	10.5	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	January 2025	14.1	6.7	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q1 2023	-22,557	-19,676	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	January 2025	1.3	-1.0	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	January 2025	1.3	0.3	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2024	79.8	79.4

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
New Orders, Month-over-Month	February 2025	-1.1	1.1	percent

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Building Permits	January 2025	12,807,603	13,233,392	thousand CAD
Housing Starts	February 2025	229,030	239,322	units

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	March 31, 2025	2.750	2.750	percent
Broad Money	January 2025	3,848	3,817	billion
Narrow Money	January 2025	1,631	1,611	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	January 2025	121,628	135,511	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	February 2025	52.6	64.7	points
CFIB Business Barometer	March 2025	31.2	47.2	points
Manufacturing PMI	February 2025	47.8	51.6
Services PMI	February 2025	46.6	49.0

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	March 28, 2025	3.04	3.12	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	March 28, 2025	2.65	2.67	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	March 2025	21.9	22.6
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	March 28, 2025	-18.8	-18.7
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	March 28, 2025	53.6	55.2	basis points