Augur Labs Indicators

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Daily Growth Nowcast by Augur Labs	June 5, 2023	1.7	2.1	percent
Potential Growth by Augur Labs	June 2023	1.4	1.4	percent
Output Gap by Augur Labs	June 2023	2.0	1.9	percent

National Accounts

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real GDP Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q1 2023	3.1	-0.1	percent
Real GDP Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q1 2023	2.2	2.1	percent
Nominal GDP, National Currency	Q4 2022	2,789	2,808	billion
Nominal GDP, USD	Q4 2022	2,055	2,150	billion (USD)
Monthly Gross Domestic Product, Month-over-Month	April 2023	0.0	0.0	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Quarter-over-Quarter	Q1 2023	5.7	1.1	percent
Real Consumption Expenditures Growth Rate, Year-over-Year	Q1 2023	4.0	3.0	percent

Prices

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	April 2023	4.4	4.3	percent
Core Consumer Price Index, Year-over-Year	April 2023	4.4	4.5	percent
Common Inflation (CPI-Common)	April 2023	5.7	6.0	percent
Median Inflation (CPI-Median)	April 2023	4.2	4.5	percent
Trimmed Inflation (CPI-Trim)	April 2023	4.2	4.4	percent

Labor

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Unemployment Rate	April 2023	5.0	5.0	percent
Employed Persons	April 2023	20,130	20,089	persons
Unemployed Persons	April 2023	1,058	1,053	persons
Jobless Claims	March 2023	387,540	389,890	persons
Hours Worked	April 2023	657,769	656,175

Domestic Trade & Household

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Real Retail Sales, Year-over-Year	March 2023	1.2	1.8	percent
Real Retail Sales, Month-over-Month	March 2023	-1.0	-0.6	percent
Wholesale Sales, Month-over-Month	April 2023	1.6	46.0	percent

Foreign Trade

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Exports, Year-over-Year	March 2023	-1.3	4.9	percent
Imports, Year-over-Year	March 2023	0.0	11.2	percent

Balance of Payment

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Current Account, USD	Q3 2022	-23,295	-4,482	million (USD)

Production

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Industrial Production, Year-over-Year	March 2023	0.9	1.9	percent
Industrial Production, Month-over-Month	March 2023	0.1	0.5	percent
Capacity Utilization	Q4 2022	81.7	82.2

Orders

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
New Orders, Month-over-Month	April 2023	-2.2	-5.0	percent

Housing

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Building Permits	March 2023	11,795,801	10,597,497	thousand CAD
Housing Starts	April 2023	261,600	213,800	units

Money & Credit

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Central Bank Policy Rate	June 5, 2023	4.500	4.500	percent
Broad Money	March 2023	3,453	3,453	billion
Narrow Money	March 2023	1,505	1,524	billion

Automobile

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Vehicle Sales	March 2023	150,956	109,781	units

Surveys

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
Consumer Confidence	April 2023	76.7	75.7	points
CFIB Business Barometer	May 2023	53.5	53.4	points
Manufacturing PMI	May 2023	49.0	50.2

Market

Indicator	Reference	Last	Previous	Unit
10-Year Bond Yield	June 1, 2023	3.17	3.21	percent
3-Month Bill Rate	June 1, 2023	4.62	4.59	percent
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE)	June 2023	18.1	17.5
Real Effective Exchange Rate (Trade-Weighted)	June 2, 2023	-11.6	-11.8
2-Year/10-Year Yield Curve	June 1, 2023	-96.3	-92.7	basis points